Easterling, W.E. and Rosenberg, N.J. and McKenney, M.S. and Jones, C.A. (1992) An introduction to the methodology, the region of study, and a historical analog of climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 59 (1-2). pp. 3-15.
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Abstract
A methodology for simulating the impact of climate change induced by greenhouse warming and the direct effects of the rising atmospheric CO2 concentration on agricultural productivity and for considering the farm-level response to these impacts is presented. This permits the climate change-agriculture question to be viewed in terms of future changes and provides for systematic consideration of the role of adaptation. It was applied to the Missouri-Iowa-Nebraska-Kansas (MINK) region-a region whose economy is heavily based on natural resources likely to be affected by climate change. In this first application the weather records of the Dust Bowl Era (1931-1940) were used as the basis for a scenario of climate change; that decade was warmer and drier than the current climatic normal in the MINK region. However, the methodology is not dependent specifically on climate analogue for scenario building; general circulation model experiments or other appropriate surrogates can be used, as well. The general structure of the methodology is described
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Author Affiliation: | Climate Resources Program, Resources for the Future, 1616 P Street NW, Washington, DC 20036, USA |
| Subjects: | Atmosperic Science > Climatology |
| Divisions: | General |
| Depositing User: | Mr B Krishnamurthy |
| Date Deposited: | 20 May 2011 08:37 |
| Last Modified: | 20 May 2011 08:37 |
| Official URL: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0168-1923(92)90083-G |
| URI: | http://eprints.icrisat.ac.in/id/eprint/2046 |
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