Musebe, I.N. and Abdi-Khalil, E. and Maonga, B.B. and Tchale, H. and etl, .
(2018)
Implications of climate change and variability on food
security in Kenya.
African Journal of Agricultural Research, 13 (34).
pp. 1761-1770.
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Abstract
This study assessed the impact of climate change and climate variability on food security in Kenya
based on a sample size of 270 farmers randomly selected from semi-arid agro-ecological zones in
Kenya. Both primary and secondary data were used in the present study. Data analysis was conducted
using descriptive statistics and regression models. The results revealed that increase in temperature
and reduction in rainfall had significant effect (p<0.01) on food security in Kenya. Increase in the
amount of rainfall by 1 mm in the semi-arid areas enhanced food security by 0.01 kg while increase in
maximum temperatures by 1°C reduced food security among households by 0.03 kg. Further, food
security of Kenya is affected by increase in temperature and decline in rainfall. One unit increase in
temperature would cause USD 3.9 million worth of value to become at risk as compared to USD 118,942
worth when rainfall decreased by 1 mm. Overall, the value at risk in the Kenyan economy is USD
112,351,112.46.
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