Frah, E.A.M. (2016) Sudan production of Sorghum; forecasting 2016-2030 using autoregressive integrated moving average ARIMA model. American Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 6 (4). pp. 175-181.
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Abstract
Sorghum is the largest crop in Sudan, where Sudan is one of the most important countries producing sorghum in the world. Sudan is the fifth country after China, India, USA and Nigeria in sorghum production worldwide. Sorghum is the most important crop and livestock feed. The study aims at forecasting the sorghum production in Sudan. The study using Box-Jenkins methodology in time series analysis which is the optimal method applied to the pattern. This method consists of four steps namely identification, estimation, diagnostic checking, and forecasting by ARIMA models. Future forecasts drawn there show that the sorghum production will be likely to increases in coming years.
Item Type: | Article |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | ARIMA, Forecasting, Sorghum and Sudan |
Author Affiliation: | Department of Statistics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Tabuk, KSA |
Subjects: | Plant Production |
Divisions: | Sorghum |
Depositing User: | Mr T L Gautham |
Date Deposited: | 25 Oct 2016 10:13 |
Last Modified: | 25 Oct 2016 10:13 |
URI: | http://eprints.icrisat.ac.in/id/eprint/14454 |
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