Rao, C.A.R. and Raju, B.M.K. and Rao, A.V.M.S. and et al, .
(2016)
A district level assessment of vulnerability of
Indian agriculture to climate change.
Current Science, 110 (10).
pp. 1939-1946.
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Abstract
Assessing vulnerability to climate change and variability
is an important first step in evolving appropriate
adaptation strategies to changing climate. Such an
analysis also helps in targeting adaptation investments,
specific to more vulnerable regions. Adopting
the definition of vulnerability given by IPCC, vulnerability
was assessed for 572 rural districts of India.
Thirty eight indicators reflecting sensitivity, adaptive
capacity and exposure were chosen to construct the
composite vulnerability index. Climate projections of
the PRECIS model for A1B scenario for the period
2021–2050 were considered to capture the future climate.
The data on these indicators were normalized
based on the nature of relationship. They were then
combined into three indices for sensitivity, exposure
and adaptive capacity, which were then averaged with
weights given by experts, to obtain the relative vulnerability
index. Based on the index, all the districts
were divided into five categories with equal number of
districts. One more district was added to ‘very high’
and ‘high’ categories. The analysis showed that districts
with higher levels of vulnerability are located in
the western and peninsular India. It is also observed
that the highly fertile Indo-Gangetic Plains are relatively
more sensitive, but less vulnerable because of
higher adaptive capacity and lower exposure.
| Item Type: |
Article
|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: |
Agriculture, Adaptive capacity and exposure,
Climate change, Sensitivity, Vulnerability |
| Author Affiliation: |
ICAR-Central Research Institute for Dryland Agriculture, Hyderabad 500 059, India |
| Subjects: |
Atmosperic Science > Climatology |
| Divisions: |
General |
| Depositing User: |
Mr B Krishnamurthy
|
| Date Deposited: |
25 Oct 2016 09:57 |
| Last Modified: |
25 Oct 2016 09:57 |
| URI: |
http://eprints.icrisat.ac.in/id/eprint/14416 |
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