Climatic risk to peanut production: a simulation study for Northern Australia

Meinke, H. and Hammer, G.L. (1995) Climatic risk to peanut production: a simulation study for Northern Australia. Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture, 35 (6). pp. 777-780.

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Abstract

A dynamic simulation model was used to quantify climatic risk to groundnuts production in Northern Australia. The model demonstrated how district yield information can be usefully combined with simulation results to assess objectively impact and causes of climatic variability on production. The analysis showed that the rapid expansion of the groundnuts industry in the region corresponded with the relatively stable, above-average yields caused by that period in the historical record having above average and less variable summer rainfall. During this period the timing and amount of rainfall was such that yields higher than average could often be achieved, and harvests were only rarely interrupted by prolonged wet periods. These conditions created unrealistically high expectations of yields by producers, and when the climate was more variable during the 1980's, it was perceived as a greater deviation from the norm than justified by the long-term record

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: SNNigam Collection
Author Affiliation: Queensland Department of Primary Industries/CSIRO Agricultural Production Systems Research Unit, PO Box 102, Toowoomba, Qld 4350, Australia
Subjects: Atmosperic Science > Climatology
Plant Production
Divisions: Groundnut
Depositing User: Mr B Krishnamurthy
Date Deposited: 08 Jul 2013 12:29
Last Modified: 08 Jul 2013 12:29
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/EA9950777
URI: http://eprints.icrisat.ac.in/id/eprint/10947

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